Friday, October 19, 2007

Hurricane Tracking

NHC latest advisory:

KIKO SHOULD REMAIN IN AN AREA OF LIGHT SHEAR FOR THE NEXT 48-72 HR...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW CONTINUED STRENGTHENING. THE SHIPS MODEL CALLS FOR A PEAK INTENSITY OF 68 KT...THE GFDL 88 KT...AND THE HWRF 90 KT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE WITH A FORECAST PEAK INTENSITY OF 75 KT. AFTER 72 HR...THE LARGE-SCALE
MODELS FORECAST INCREASING SHEAR AS KIKO REACHES COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THIS COMBINATION SHOULD CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND.

Light shear (low high-level winds), warm SST's, low core pressure are factors that build a strong hurricane. Gotta love the warm sea temps.

> > > Here's a good website to track Kiko from:


Along with the nice visual from Wunderground, Sandy has a nice neat table to run stats from too:

Track

Public Advisory

Discussion

Marine Advisory

Visible

Infrared

RGB

Water Vapor

Visible Loop

IR Loop

RGB Loop

WV Loop

More Images

Windshear

Windshear Tendency

Historical

Radar

Computer Models



Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical Weather Discussion

Experimental Graphical TWO

Tropical Cyclone Danger

EPAC Visible

EPAC Infrared


Nice one, Hurrikan.

(Please see the link for the whole table, one column isn't being shown by the blog.)

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